Daily digests
Crypto News Digest: October 10, 2026
The stories that moved crypto on October 10, 2026.
32 stories
All crypto news
Here’s a Way to Predict When AI Chatbots Will Turn Bad
Physicists at George Washington University unveil a formula that predicts the exact moment an AI chatbot shifts from helpful to harmful responses, and preliminary experiments on modest‑size models confirm its accuracy. The breakthrough offers developers a quantitative tool to anticipate degradation, potentially reducing unexpected toxic outputs and improving overall safety standards across the AI industry.
Ether ETFs extend outflow streak to nine days as Solana funds snap record 14-week inflow run
Ether ETFs continue a nine‑day outflow streak, while Solana‑focused funds reverse a 14‑week inflow record, and spot Bitcoin ETFs also record weekly withdrawals. The combined net outflows reflect investors reallocating from crypto‑linked products amid heightened market volatility, suggesting short‑term pressure on fund assets and potentially dampening broader institutional appetite for digital‑asset exposure.
This Sam Altman-Backed Life Insurer Runs Entirely on Bitcoin, and Just Raised $37.5 Million
Sam Altman‑backed Bermuda insurer runs fully on Bitcoin and secures $37.5 million from Bain Capital Crypto and existing investors after a record year fueled by wealthy families across Asia, Europe and the Middle East; the capital boost enables scaling of its Bitcoin‑only infrastructure, signaling growing institutional confidence in crypto‑native insurance models and potentially expanding crypto‑linked financial services.
CFTC Draws the Line Between Prediction Markets and Gambling in New Rules
The CFTC proposes a rule that classifies event contracts covering sports, politics, culture and weather as swaps, while an interim rule explicitly excludes casino‑style gambling, reinforcing the agency’s claim to exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets. This clarification could broaden regulated trading products, push unregulated bookmakers out, and reshape market liquidity and compliance requirements.
Kalshi is investigating bets on Trump’s press secretary pick placed before announcement: WSJ
Kalshi is probing three pre‑announcement wagers on President Trump’s press‑secretary selection, each totaling roughly $173 and collectively poised to return about $9,600 if they win. The investigation highlights how prediction‑market platforms capture early political speculation, prompting regulators to scrutinize compliance while the episode underscores growing investor interest in real‑time election‑related trading.
Bitcoin pulls back as analysts forecast $80,000-$90,000 Q4 trading range
Bitcoin trades near $82,000 on Thursday, positioning it within analysts’ QCP forecasted fourth‑quarter range of $80,000‑$90,000; the cryptocurrency has rebounded from recent dips while institutional inflows remain strong, and volatility moderates as investors eye upcoming ETF approvals. This price stability suggests continued bullish sentiment, reinforcing expectations for sustained upside momentum throughout the quarter.
Tech chief says EU can fend off rogue AI risk: Report
Tech chief Thierry Breton says the EU can prevent rogue AI threats after recent OpenAI and Anthropic incidents, emphasizing that coordinated regulation, robust testing and clear accountability frameworks will keep autonomous agents under human control.
Bitcoin's $19 billion wake-up call: One-year after flash crash, has crypto learned anything?
Bitcoin’s October 10, 2025 flash crash erased roughly $19 billion in leveraged crypto positions, exposing systemic risk. One year later traders deploy enhanced risk‑monitoring tools, tighter margin limits, and real‑time liquidation alerts to curb similar cascades. Yet underlying volatility, algorithmic trading loops, and macro‑economic stressors still drive sudden sell‑offs, keeping market resilience and regulatory scrutiny in focus.
Justin Sun says Tron’s post-quantum cryptography has gone live on testnet
Justin Sun announces that Tron’s post‑quantum cryptography has launched on its testnet, stating the network “is ready to bring quantum resistance to mainnet at any time.” The upgrade aims to safeguard transactions against future quantum attacks, potentially boosting investor confidence and positioning Tron as a security‑focused blockchain, which could positively influence its market valuation.
Tokenized commodities look beyond gold as lending and oil open new markets
Paxos Labs, Theo and Energy Substantiation executives report that tokenized commodities are expanding beyond gold, with precious‑metal tokens leading growth while energy‑linked tokens, especially oil‑backed lending, present a tougher test; they expect physical‑asset tokenization to unlock new liquidity streams, diversify portfolios and drive broader adoption across the crypto lending market.
One year after 10/10 flash crash, bitcoin and ether liquidity have rebuilt, but altcoins still face risks
Bitcoin and ether order books now exceed pre‑crash depth, showing restored liquidity a year after the 10/10 flash crash, while altcoin markets continue losing depth and spot volumes stay far below the October 2025 peak; this divergence signals renewed confidence in major tokens but warns that weaker altcoins may face heightened volatility and reduced investor interest.
French Committee Backs Stablecoin Swap Tax and Crypto Exit Tax, Then Rejects the Budget
France’s National Assembly finance committee approves amendments imposing a 0.3% tax on stablecoin swaps and a 0.5% exit levy for wealthy crypto holders, then votes down the 2027 budget’s revenue chapter. The measures target high‑value digital asset transactions, aiming to boost fiscal receipts, while the budget rejection signals political uncertainty that could dampen investor confidence in the French crypto market.
SIM-Swap Fraudster Who Spent Stolen Crypto on Gold Grills and Dubai Trips Jailed
Ajay Shinjin receives a prison sentence after facilitating a SIM‑swap scheme that siphoned roughly $265,000 in cryptocurrency from BT customers whose numbers were hijacked in November 2021; he then spent the proceeds on gold grills and luxury trips to Dubai, highlighting how fraudsters quickly convert digital theft into tangible assets and prompting tighter telecom security measures across the industry.
Dark web drug market operator sentenced to 40 years, forfeits $101 million in bitcoin
A Virginia man who ran a dark‑web drug marketplace and enabled roughly $430 million in illicit sales is sentenced to 40 years and ordered to forfeit about $101 million in Bitcoin, while his associate surrenders nearly 1,600 BTC; the massive forfeiture underscores law‑enforcement pressure on crypto‑facilitated crime and could dampen illicit trading volumes across the industry.
Empire Market Co-Creator Sentenced to 40 Years Over $430M Dark Web Bazaar
Thomas Pavey, co‑creator of the Empire Market dark‑web bazaar, faces a 40‑year federal sentence after prosecutors reveal the platform facilitated $430 million in illicit trades. His partner Raheim Hamilton already forfeited roughly 1,230 BTC, while Pavey must surrender about 1,584 BTC this month. The harsh penalties signal intensified regulatory pressure on crypto‑based illegal marketplaces.
UK slaps sanctions on three crypto exchanges over alleged Russia links
Britain sanctions three crypto exchanges and two payment services, accusing them of facilitating Russia’s evasion of financial sanctions, with two platforms processing transactions for the Kremlin‑backed A7 network. The move targets alleged illicit cross‑border crypto flows, prompting heightened regulatory scrutiny and signaling that compliance failures could trigger severe penalties, potentially tightening market liquidity and investor confidence.
French lawmakers back stablecoin swap tax in 2027 budget bill
France's Finance Committee approves a stablecoin swap tax in the 2027 budget, targeting transactions and unrealized crypto gains for households holding over €800,000 that relocate abroad. The measure imposes a levy on each swap and taxes deferred profits, aiming to capture revenue from high‑net‑worth investors and signaling tighter European regulatory scrutiny on digital assets.
Visa survey says nearly half of APAC consumers open to using stablecoins by 2031
Visa reports that nearly half of its 14,250 surveyed APAC consumers are open to using stablecoins by 2031, despite only 6% correctly understanding how they work. The growing interest signals expanding demand for crypto‑based payment options, prompting banks and fintechs to develop compliant solutions, which could boost stablecoin adoption and reshape regional payment ecosystems.
XRP Ledger patched decade-old bug that could create billions of dollars in XRP from nothing
Researchers expose a decade‑old flaw in the XRP Ledger that lets a transaction generate unlimited, spendable XRP without funding, prompting an emergency software patch released today; the bug could have produced billions of dollars in XRP from nothing, threatening network integrity and investor confidence, while the swift fix aims to stabilize the market and preserve trust.
Robinhood Chain slowdown spreads from fees to trading as transactions fall more than 40%
Robinhood’s blockchain network slows as daily transactions plunge from 10.8 million to 6.2 million since mid‑September, a drop exceeding 40 percent, while the platform continues covering network fees on user swaps. The sharp activity decline pressures revenue and could prompt tighter fee structures, signaling broader market strain on retail crypto trading platforms in 2024 overall.
Bitcoin's volatility has plunged, but extreme price swings are more frequent than in 2018
Bitcoin’s volatility drops yet 2026 sees ten unusually large trading days, outpacing 2018’s extreme swings, according to CoinDesk analysis; the surge in outsized moves forces investors to reassess risk metrics as institutional participation deepens, prompting tighter hedging strategies and heightened scrutiny of price‑risk models, which could reshape capital allocation across the crypto market.
Sam Altman-backed Bitcoin life insurer, Meanwhile, raises more funds
Sam Altman‑backed insurer Meanwhile raises a new funding round as international demand for its Bitcoin‑linked life policies surges amid macro‑economic instability; the company reports heightened client interest across Europe and Asia, prompting expansion plans. The fresh capital strengthens its underwriting capacity, signaling growing confidence in crypto‑insurance products and potentially boosting broader market adoption.
Thailand opens door to locally listed bitcoin and ether ETFs
Thailand’s new crypto regulations take effect on October 16, permitting Thai asset managers to launch locally listed exchange‑traded funds that hold bitcoin and ether, the first two digital assets approved for such products.
Sam Altman-backed bitcoin life insurer Meanwhile raises $37.5 million round led by Bain Capital Crypto
Meanwhile, the Sam Altman‑backed bitcoin life insurer secures a $37.5 million financing round led by Bain Capital Crypto, pushing its total capital raised past $180 million; existing investors also participate. The infusion strengthens its balance sheet, enabling broader policy underwriting and product development, while signaling growing institutional confidence that could accelerate crypto‑insurance adoption across the market.
UK sanctions three crypto exchanges tied to Russian illicit funds
The United Kingdom sanctions three crypto exchanges and associated payment processors, linking them to thousands of Russian entities and the sanctioned HTX platform, accusing them of facilitating illicit fund flows. The measures freeze assets, prohibit UK dealings and target cross‑border transactions, signaling tighter regulatory scrutiny that could pressure market liquidity and deter further illicit activity across the crypto industry.
France is world’s most dangerous place for Bitcoiners: 90 attacks in 7 months
French police report ninety crypto‑related crimes—kidnappings, extortions, threats and violent thefts—in just seven months, making France the world’s most dangerous place for Bitcoin holders. The surge stems from lax regulation, high cryptocurrency adoption and organized criminal networks targeting wealthy investors. Consequently, the heightened risk pressures French users to seek safer jurisdictions, potentially dampening local crypto market growth.
Dragonfly partner rejects ‘bunker mode’ doomerism, calls for proactive blockchain measures
Dragonfly partner Qureshi rejects “bunker mode” doomerism, stating asset migration won’t solve AI‑driven cryptographic signature failures, and urges blockchains to implement proactive defenses such as quantum‑resistant algorithms and diversified key management; he warns that without pre‑emptive upgrades, networks could face systemic breaches, prompting investors to demand stronger security standards across the industry.
New York AG secures up to $35 million from former Celsius CEO Alex Mashinsky
New York Attorney General Letitia James secures a civil judgment of up to $35 million from former Celsius CEO Alex Mashinsky and imposes a permanent ban preventing him from serving in any securities‑related or crypto‑industry capacity; the enforcement action underscores heightened regulatory scrutiny, signals tougher penalties for alleged misconduct, and could deter future executive misconduct across the digital‑asset market.
US targets $1 billion Iran-linked crypto seizure, Bessent says ‘we know where it is’
US officials announce a $1 billion seizure of Iran‑linked cryptocurrency, with Treasury’s Bessent stating “we know where it is” and detailing a coordinated takedown after months of sanctions and asset freezes; the operation targets illicit wallets and exchanges, signaling intensified enforcement that could pressure illicit crypto flows and tighten compliance scrutiny across the industry.
Ledger investigates potential wallet tampering after reports of $86 million in crypto stolen
Ledger announces an investigation after a Southeast Asian reseller’s wallets appear tampered, with social media posts alleging $86 million in Bitcoin, Ethereum and Tron stolen. The hardware‑wallet maker says it is tracing the compromised devices and reviewing supply‑chain security, while users scramble to secure assets. The incident fuels broader concerns over hardware‑wallet integrity and could pressure market confidence.
Ledger investigates wallet drains involving CryptoBilis buyers; estimate tops $86 million in losses
Ledger investigates Southeast Asian users’ wallet drains after purchasing its hardware from reseller CryptoBilis, estimating losses exceeding $86 million. The firm says it is reviewing transaction data and collaborating with authorities to trace the illicit activity. This probe highlights vulnerabilities in third‑party distribution channels, prompting investors to scrutinize supply‑chain security and potentially dampening demand for hardware wallets.
U.S. CFTC moves to fold event contracts into swaps regulations as legal fight rages
The U.S. CFTC proposes a formal rule to reclassify event‑based contracts, such as those offered on Kalshi, as swaps, bringing them under the agency’s oversight and requiring registration, reporting and margin standards; this move intensifies the ongoing legal battle, could broaden regulatory reach, and may pressure similar platforms to adapt compliance structures, affecting market liquidity.