Markets Don’t Buy the US Ceasefire Against Iran Will Last
Decrypt·
60-second summary
The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire lasting at least 14 consecutive days dropped by 10% on Polymarket today, with traders on Myriad now predicting peace talks won't occur until next month. This shift in sentiment reflects ongoing tensions and skepticism surrounding the ceasefire's durability, potentially impacting global markets and oil prices in the coming weeks.
The odds that a ceasefire lasts at least 14 consecutive days dropped by 10% today on Polymarket, and traders on Myriad believe peace talks won't happen until next month.